Where the 2026 races stand on U.S. weapons and funding for the government of Israel

If today's favorites win

If every race for Congress goes to today's favorite, 288 of the 456 seats we can count go to candidates who support sending weapons or funding, and 26 to candidates who oppose it.

Expected winners based on Polymarket tracking, Oct 9, 2026.

Congress 456 seats

Supports 288
Mixed 119
Opposes 26
No Position Found 23

Senate 35 races

Supports 27
Mixed 3
Opposes 5
No Position Found 0

House 421 races

Supports 261
Mixed 116
Opposes 21
No Position Found 23

Favorites are the candidates with the best odds on Polymarket as of October 9, 2026. The odds are the market's, not ours, and the race pages show live odds, which can differ. 13 races have odds only for a party, and more than one of our candidates belongs to it, so they have no favorite here. 1 race has no market.

The Senate map

Opposes
Mixed
Supports
No Position Found
No Senate race this year

Colors show where each favorite stands on this question, not their party.

The closest races for Congress

Races for Congress where the favorite's odds are under 65% and the two leading candidates are marked differently.

U.S. House, Michigan District 4
- ✗ Bill Huizenga (R) 50.5%
- ? Sean McCann (D) 48.5%
See the race
U.S. House, Iowa District 2
- – Lindsay James (D) 55.5% Ask them where they stand.
- ✗ Joe Mitchell (R) 44.5%
See the race
U.S. House, Virginia District 1
- ? Shannon L. Taylor (D) 56%
- ✗ Rob Wittman (R) 45%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Iowa
- ✗ Ashley Hinson (R) 57.5%
- ✓ Josh Turek (D) 43.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Maine
- ✓ Troy Dale Jackson (D) 58.5%
- ✗ Susan Collins (R) 42.5%
See the race
U.S. House, Michigan District 7
- ✓ William Lawrence (D) 61.5%
- ✗ Tom Barrett (R) 38.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Kansas
- ✗ Roger Marshall (R) 61.5%
- ? Adam Hamilton (D) 37.5%
See the race
U.S. House, Maine District 2
- ✗ Paul LePage (R) 62.5%
- ? Matt Dunlap (D) 36.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Texas
- ✓ James Talarico (D) 62.5%
- ✗ Ken Paxton (R) 37.5%
See the race
U.S. House, Wisconsin District 1
- ✗ Bryan Steil (R) 63%
- – Mitchell Berman (D) 36.5% Ask them where they stand.
See the race

Same party, different marks

Races for Congress between two candidates of the same party who are marked differently. The party is settled; this question is not.

U.S. House, California District 7
- ? Doris O. Matsui (D)
- ✓ Mai Vang (D)
See the race
U.S. House, California District 11
- ✓ Connie Chan (D)
- ? Scott Wiener (D)
See the race
U.S. House, California District 12
- ✓ Jamie Joyce (D)
- ? Lateefah Simon (D)
See the race
U.S. House, California District 14
- ✗ Melissa Hernandez (D)
- ✓ Aisha Wahab (D)
See the race
U.S. House, California District 29
- ✓ Angélica María Dueñas (D)
- ✗ Luz M. Rivas (D)
See the race
U.S. House, California District 34
- ✗ Jimmy Gomez (D)
- ✓ Angela Gonzales-Torres (D)
See the race
U.S. House, California District 37
- ? Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D)
- ✓ Samantha Mota (D)
See the race
U.S. House, Louisiana District 1
- ? Randall Arrington (R)
- ✗ Steve Scalise (R)
See the race

Every Senate race

U.S. Senate, Alabama
- ✗ Barry Moore (R) 97.3%
- ? Everett Wess (D) 1.7%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Alaska
- ✗ Mary Peltola (D) 73.5%
- ✗ Dan Sullivan (R) 26.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Arkansas
- ✗ Tom Cotton (R) 94.1%
- – Hallie Shoffner (D) 6.1%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Colorado
- ✗ John Hickenlooper (D) 97.6%
- – Mark Baisley (R) 1.6%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Delaware
- ✗ Chris Coons (D) 98.7%
- – Mike Katz (R) 1.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Florida
- ✗ Ashley Moody (R) 90.5%
- ✓ Angie Nixon (D) 9.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Georgia
- ? Jon Ossoff (D) 96.6%
- ✗ Mike Collins (R) 3.6%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Idaho
- ✗ Jim Risch (R) 93.8%
- – Todd Achilles (I) 6.3%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Illinois
- ✗ Juliana Stratton (D) 98.2%
- ✗ Don Tracy (R) 2%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Iowa
- ✗ Ashley Hinson (R) 57.5%
- ✓ Josh Turek (D) 43.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Kansas
- ✗ Roger Marshall (R) 61.5%
- ? Adam Hamilton (D) 37.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Kentucky
- ✗ Andy Barr (R) 96.8%
- ✓ Charles Booker (D) 2.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Louisiana
- ✗ Julia Letlow (R) 93.5%
- – Jamie Davis (D) 6%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Maine
- ✓ Troy Dale Jackson (D) 58.5%
- ✗ Susan Collins (R) 42.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Massachusetts
- ? Ed Markey (D) 98.2%
- ? John Deaton (R) 1.8%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Michigan
- ✓ Abdul El-Sayed (D) 69%
- ✗ Mike Rogers (R) 31.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Minnesota
- ✓ Peggy Flanagan (D) 87.5%
- ? Michele Tafoya (R) 13.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Mississippi
- ✗ Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 92.5%
- ? Scott Colom (D) 6.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Montana
- ✗ Kurt Alme (R) 91.5%
- – Seth Bodnar (I) 6.1%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Nebraska
- ✗ Pete Ricketts (R) 71.5%
- ? Dan Osborn (I) 28.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, New Hampshire
- ✗ Chris Pappas (D) 89.5%
- ✗ John Sununu (R) 11%
See the race
U.S. Senate, New Jersey
- ✗ Cory Booker (D) 97.9%
- ? Justin Murphy (R) 1.8%
See the race
U.S. Senate, New Mexico
- ? Ben Ray Luján (D) 97.4%
- – Larry Marker (R) 1.7%
See the race
U.S. Senate, North Carolina
- ✗ Roy Cooper (D) 96.4%
- ✗ Michael Whatley (R) 3.6%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Ohio
- ✗ Sherrod Brown (D) 62.5%
- ✗ Jon Husted (R) 38.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Oklahoma
- ✗ Kevin Hern (R) 96.9%
- ? Jasmine Thomas (D) 1.6%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Oregon
- ✓ Jeffrey Alan Merkley (D) 98%
- – David Brock Smith (R) 2.1%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Rhode Island
- ✗ Jack Reed (D) 97.2%
- – Ray McKay (R) 0.7%
See the race
U.S. Senate, South Carolina
- ✗ Darline Graham (R) 84.5%
- – Annie Andrews (D) 15.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, South Dakota
- ✗ Mike Rounds (R) 92.6%
- ✓ Brian Bengs (I) 7.6%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Tennessee
- ✗ Bill Hagerty (R) 95.1%
- – Marquita Bradshaw (D) 4.8%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Texas
- ✓ James Talarico (D) 62.5%
- ✗ Ken Paxton (R) 37.5%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Virginia
- ✗ Mark Robert Warner (D) 98.1%
- – Bert Mizusawa (R) 2.1%
See the race
U.S. Senate, West Virginia
- ✗ Shelley Moore Capito (R) 98.2%
- ? Rachel Lee Fetty Anderson (D) 1%
See the race
U.S. Senate, Wyoming
- ✗ Harriet Hageman (R) 98.3%
- – James Byrd (D) 1.8%
See the race

Every race for governor

Governors 36 races

Supports 12
Mixed 11
Opposes 3
No Position Found 10

Governors don't vote on U.S. weapons or funding. Some of these candidates have a record anyway: votes from their time in Congress, their own words, money from the lobbying groups we track, and endorsements.

Governor, Alabama
- ✗ Tommy Tuberville (R) 92%
- – Doug Jones (D) 8.1%
See the race
Governor, Alaska
- – Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) 76.8%
- – Bernadette Wilson (R) 19.5%
See the race
Governor, Arizona
- ? Katie Hobbs (D) 88.5%
- ✗ Andy Biggs (R) 12.5%
See the race
Governor, Arkansas
- ✗ Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 96.7%
- – Fredrick Love (D) 2.7%
See the race
Governor, California
- ✓ Xavier Becerra (D) 96%
- ✗ Steve Hilton (R) 3.8%
See the race
Governor, Colorado
- ? Phil Weiser (D) 96.8%
- – Victor Marx (R) 2.4%
See the race
Governor, Connecticut
- ? Ned Lamont (D) 96.5%
- – Ryan Fazio (R) 2.5%
See the race
Governor, Florida
- ✗ Byron Donalds (R) 77.5%
- ✗ David Jolly (D) 22.5%
See the race
Governor, Georgia
- ? Rick Jackson (R) 52.5%
- – Keisha Bottoms (D) 47.5%
See the race
Governor, Hawaii
- ✗ Joshua Green (D) 98.4%
- – Gary Cordery (R) 1.2%
See the race
Governor, Idaho
- ? Brad Little (R) 98.2%
- – Terri Pickens (D) 2.2%
See the race
Governor, Illinois
- ✓ J.B. Pritzker (D) 98.8%
- – Darren Bailey (R) 1.4%
See the race
Governor, Iowa
- – Rob Sand (D) 88.5%
- – Zach Lahn (R) 12.5%
See the race
Governor, Kansas
- ? Ty Masterson (R) 76.5%
- – Cindy Holscher (D) 24%
See the race
Governor, Maine
- – Hannah Pingree (D) 95.9%
- ✗ Bobby Charles (R) 4.2%
See the race
Governor, Maryland
- ✓ Wes Moore (D) 99.2%
- ? Dan Cox (R) 1.2%
See the race
Governor, Massachusetts
- ✗ Maura Healey (D) 96%
- – Michael Minogue (R) 3.8%
See the race
Governor, Michigan
- ? Jocelyn Benson (D) 93.1%
- ✗ John James (R) 6.6%
See the race
Governor, Minnesota
- ✗ Amy Klobuchar (D) 95.5%
- – Lisa Demuth (R) 4.8%
See the race
Governor, Nebraska
- ✗ Jim Pillen (R) 89.5%
- – Lynne Walz (D) 9.5%
See the race
Governor, Nevada
- – Aaron Ford (D) 54.5%
- ? Joe Lombardo (R) 45.5%
See the race
Governor, New Hampshire
- – Kelly Ayotte (R) 94.6%
- – Cinde Warmington (D) 5.2%
See the race
Governor, New Mexico
- ? Debra Haaland (D) 95.5%
- – Gregg Hull (R) 5%
See the race
Governor, New York
- ✗ Kathy Hochul (D) 96.8%
- ? Bruce Blakeman (R) 3.5%
See the race
Governor, Ohio
- – Amy Acton (D) 69%
- ✓ Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 30.5%
See the race
Governor, Oklahoma
- ? Mike Mazzei (R) 93.5%
- – Cyndi Munson (D) 6.5%
See the race
Governor, Oregon
- – Tina Kotek (D) 78.5%
- – Christine Drazan (R) 22.5%
See the race
Governor, Pennsylvania
- ✗ Josh Shapiro (D) 97.4%
- ✗ Stacy Garrity (R) 2.3%
See the race
Governor, Rhode Island
- – Helena Foulkes (D) 97.2%
- – Aaron Guckian (R) 1.9%
See the race
Governor, South Carolina
- ✗ Alan Wilson (R) 94.5%
- ? Jermaine Johnson (D) 4.7%
See the race
Governor, South Dakota
- ? Larry Rhoden (R) 96.5%
- – Dan Ahlers (D) 2.6%
See the race
Governor, Tennessee
- ✗ Marsha Blackburn (R) 95.5%
- – Jerri Green (D) 4.5%
See the race
Governor, Texas
- ✗ Greg Abbott (R) 75.4%
- – Gina Hinojosa (D) 25.5%
See the race
Governor, Vermont
- ? Phil Scott (R) 73.5%
- – Amanda Janoo (D) 26.4%
See the race
Governor, Wisconsin
- – David Crowley (D) 81.5%
- ✗ Tom Tiffany (R) 18.5%
See the race
Governor, Wyoming
- – Eric Barlow (R) 97.5%
- – Ken Casner (D) 2%
See the race

The House

House 421 races

Supports 261
Mixed 116
Opposes 21
No Position Found 23

Every House candidate we track has a page. Find yours by state and district.

Find your district

Every candidate we track

Not just the favorites: every running candidate we track.

Office	Supports	Mixed	Opposes	No Position Found	All
Senate	39	23	24	40	126
House	333	245	102	474	1,154
Governor	21	26	9	87	143
Total	393	294	135	601	1,423