Where the 2026 races stand
Archived: this page as it was published on Election Day, November 3, 2026, with Polymarket odds from that morning. See the results.
Every candidate we track for Governor, U.S. Senate and U.S. House, rated on one question: U.S. weapons and funding for the government of Israel.
If today's favorites win
If every race for Congress goes to today's favorite, 285 of the 465 seats we can count go to candidates who support sending weapons or funding, and 31 to candidates who oppose it.
Expected winners based on Polymarket tracking, Nov 3, 2026.
The Senate map
- Opposes
- Mixed
- Supports
- No Position Found
- No Senate race this year
Colors show where each favorite stands on this question, not their party.
The closest races for Congress
Races for Congress where the favorite's odds are under 65% and the two leading candidates are marked differently.
-
U.S. House, Wisconsin District 1
- – Mitchell Berman (D) 51% Ask them where they stand.
- ✗ Bryan Steil (R) 48.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Iowa
- ✓ Josh Turek (D) 52.5%
- ✗ Ashley Hinson (R) 47.5%
-
U.S. House, Arizona District 2
- ✗ Eli Crane (R) 54.5%
- – Jonathan Nez (D) 45% Ask them where they stand.
-
U.S. House, Kentucky District 6
- – Zach Dembo (D) 55.5% Ask them where they stand.
- ✗ Ralph Alvarado (R) 45%
-
U.S. House, Colorado District 5
- ✗ Jeff Crank (R) 56.5%
- – Jessica Killin (D) 44.5% Ask them where they stand.
-
U.S. House, Michigan District 4
- ? Sean McCann (D) 58.5%
- ✗ Bill Huizenga (R) 40.5%
-
U.S. House, North Carolina District 3
- ✗ Gregory F. Murphy (R) 58.5%
- – Raymond Smith Jr. (D) 42.5% Ask them where they stand.
-
U.S. House, Virginia District 5
- ✗ John J. McGuire III (R) 58.5%
- – Tom S. P. Perriello (D) 40.5% Ask them where they stand.
-
U.S. House, Maine District 2
- ✗ Paul LePage (R) 59.5%
- ? Matt Dunlap (D) 39%
-
U.S. House, Missouri District 2
- ✗ Ann Wagner (R) 59.5%
- ✓ Fred Wellman (D) 41.5%
-
U.S. House, Ohio District 15
- ✗ Mike Carey (R) 61%
- ✓ Don Leonard (D) 39%
-
U.S. House, Minnesota District 1
- ✗ Brad Finstad (R) 61.5%
- – Jake Johnson (D) 37.5% Ask them where they stand.
-
U.S. Senate, Kansas
- ? Adam Hamilton (D) 61.5%
- ✗ Roger Marshall (R) 37.5%
-
U.S. House, North Carolina District 9
- ✗ Richard Hudson (R) 64.5%
- – Richard Ojeda (D) 34.5% Ask them where they stand.
Same party, different marks
Races for Congress between two candidates of the same party who are marked differently. The party is settled; this question is not.
-
U.S. House, California District 7
- ? Doris O. Matsui (D) 77.5%
- ✓ Mai Vang (D) 22.5%
-
U.S. House, California District 11
- ? Scott Wiener (D) 79%
- ✓ Connie Chan (D) 21.5%
-
U.S. House, California District 12
- ? Lateefah Simon (D) 95.7%
- ✓ Jamie Joyce (D) 1.8%
-
U.S. House, California District 14
- ✓ Aisha Wahab (D) 94.5%
- ✗ Melissa Hernandez (D) 4.3%
-
U.S. House, California District 29
- ✗ Luz M. Rivas (D) 97.3%
- ✓ Angélica María Dueñas (D) 2.9%
-
U.S. House, California District 34
- ✓ Angela Gonzales-Torres (D) 81%
- ✗ Jimmy Gomez (D) 17.5%
-
U.S. House, California District 37
- ? Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D) 98.4%
- ✓ Samantha Mota (D) 1%
-
U.S. House, Louisiana District 1
- ? Randall Arrington (R)
- ✗ Steve Scalise (R)
Know your candidate's name? Search for their record here.
Every Senate race
-
U.S. Senate, Alabama
- ✗ Barry Moore (R) 98.4%
- ? Everett Wess (D) 1.6%
-
U.S. Senate, Alaska
- ✗ Mary Peltola (D) 71.5%
- ✗ Dan Sullivan (R) 28.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Arkansas
- ✗ Tom Cotton (R) 98%
- – Hallie Shoffner (D) 1.9%
-
U.S. Senate, Colorado
- ✗ John Hickenlooper (D) 98.8%
- – Mark Baisley (R) 0.9%
-
U.S. Senate, Delaware
- ✗ Chris Coons (D) 98.9%
- – Mike Katz (R) 1.3%
-
U.S. Senate, Florida
- ✗ Ashley Moody (R) 87%
- ✓ Angie Nixon (D) 13.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Georgia
- ? Jon Ossoff (D) 97.4%
- ✗ Mike Collins (R) 2.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Idaho
- ✗ Jim Risch (R) 97.1%
- – Todd Achilles (I) 3%
-
U.S. Senate, Illinois
- ✗ Juliana Stratton (D) 99.3%
- ✗ Don Tracy (R) 0.7%
-
U.S. Senate, Iowa
- ✓ Josh Turek (D) 52.5%
- ✗ Ashley Hinson (R) 47.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Kansas
- ? Adam Hamilton (D) 61.5%
- ✗ Roger Marshall (R) 37.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Kentucky
- ✗ Andy Barr (R) 96.8%
- ✓ Charles Booker (D) 3.3%
-
U.S. Senate, Louisiana
- ✗ Julia Letlow (R) 87.5%
- – Jamie Davis (D) 12.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Maine
- ✓ Troy Dale Jackson (D) 73.5%
- ✗ Susan Collins (R) 26.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Massachusetts
- ? Ed Markey (D) 99.3%
- ? John Deaton (R) 0.9%
-
U.S. Senate, Michigan
- ✓ Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80.5%
- ✗ Mike Rogers (R) 19.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Minnesota
- ✓ Peggy Flanagan (D) 91.5%
- ? Michele Tafoya (R) 7.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Mississippi
- ✗ Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 86.5%
- ? Scott Colom (D) 14.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Montana
- ✗ Kurt Alme (R) 90.5%
- – Seth Bodnar (I) 8.9%
-
U.S. Senate, Nebraska
- ✗ Pete Ricketts (R) 68.5%
- ? Dan Osborn (I) 31.5%
-
U.S. Senate, New Hampshire
- ✗ Chris Pappas (D) 94.5%
- ✗ John Sununu (R) 5.5%
-
U.S. Senate, New Jersey
- ✗ Cory Booker (D) 98.8%
- ? Justin Murphy (R) 1.2%
-
U.S. Senate, New Mexico
- ? Ben Ray Luján (D) 99.5%
- – Larry Marker (R) 0.6%
-
U.S. Senate, North Carolina
- ✗ Roy Cooper (D) 97.8%
- ✗ Michael Whatley (R) 2.3%
-
U.S. Senate, Ohio
- ✗ Sherrod Brown (D) 71.5%
- ✗ Jon Husted (R) 28.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Oklahoma
- ✗ Kevin Hern (R) 98.9%
- ? Jasmine Thomas (D) 0.9%
-
U.S. Senate, Oregon
- ✓ Jeffrey Alan Merkley (D) 99%
- – David Brock Smith (R) 1.2%
-
U.S. Senate, Rhode Island
See the race -
U.S. Senate, South Carolina
- ✗ Darline Graham (R) 69.5%
- – Annie Andrews (D) 31%
-
U.S. Senate, South Dakota
- ✗ Mike Rounds (R) 94.8%
- ✓ Brian Bengs (I) 5.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Tennessee
- ✗ Bill Hagerty (R) 98.5%
- – Marquita Bradshaw (D) 1.7%
-
U.S. Senate, Texas
- ✓ James Talarico (D) 74.5%
- ✗ Ken Paxton (R) 25.5%
-
U.S. Senate, Virginia
- ✗ Mark Robert Warner (D) 99.3%
- – Bert Mizusawa (R) 0.7%
-
U.S. Senate, West Virginia
- ✗ Shelley Moore Capito (R) 98.7%
- ? Rachel Lee Fetty Anderson (D) 1.4%
-
U.S. Senate, Wyoming
- ✗ Harriet Hageman (R) 98.8%
- – James Byrd (D) 1.4%
Every race for governor
Governors don't vote on U.S. weapons or funding. Some of these candidates have a record anyway: votes from their time in Congress, their own words, money from the lobbying groups we track, and endorsements.
-
Governor, Alabama
- ✗ Tommy Tuberville (R) 93.2%
- – Doug Jones (D) 6.6%
-
Governor, Alaska
- – Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) 89.8%
- – Bernadette Wilson (R) 10.5%
-
Governor, Arizona
- ? Katie Hobbs (D) 94%
- ✗ Andy Biggs (R) 6.5%
-
Governor, Arkansas
- ✗ Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 98.2%
- – Fredrick Love (D) 1.7%
-
Governor, California
- ✓ Xavier Becerra (D) 98.2%
- ✗ Steve Hilton (R) 2%
-
Governor, Colorado
- ? Phil Weiser (D) 97.6%
- – Victor Marx (R) 2.9%
-
Governor, Connecticut
- ? Ned Lamont (D) 97.9%
- – Ryan Fazio (R) 2.2%
-
Governor, Florida
- ✗ Byron Donalds (R) 63.5%
- ✗ David Jolly (D) 36.5%
-
Governor, Georgia
- – Keisha Bottoms (D) 72.5%
- ? Rick Jackson (R) 26.5%
-
Governor, Hawaii
- ✗ Joshua Green (D) 98.7%
- – Gary Cordery (R) 1.4%
-
Governor, Idaho
- ? Brad Little (R) 98.5%
- – Terri Pickens (D) 1.4%
-
Governor, Illinois
- ✓ J.B. Pritzker (D) 98.7%
- – Darren Bailey (R) 1.4%
-
Governor, Iowa
See the race -
Governor, Kansas
- ? Ty Masterson (R) 65.5%
- – Cindy Holscher (D) 35.5%
-
Governor, Maine
- – Hannah Pingree (D) 96.9%
- ✗ Bobby Charles (R) 3%
-
Governor, Maryland
See the race -
Governor, Massachusetts
- ✗ Maura Healey (D) 97.9%
- – Michael Minogue (R) 2.1%
-
Governor, Michigan
- ? Jocelyn Benson (D) 95.1%
- ✗ John James (R) 4.8%
-
Governor, Minnesota
- ✗ Amy Klobuchar (D) 97.5%
- – Lisa Demuth (R) 2.5%
-
Governor, Nebraska
- ✗ Jim Pillen (R) 90%
- – Lynne Walz (D) 10%
-
Governor, Nevada
- – Aaron Ford (D) 75.5%
- ? Joe Lombardo (R) 24.5%
-
Governor, New Hampshire
- – Kelly Ayotte (R) 85.1%
- – Cinde Warmington (D) 13.9%
-
Governor, New Mexico
- ? Debra Haaland (D) 95.4%
- – Gregg Hull (R) 4.6%
-
Governor, New York
- ✗ Kathy Hochul (D) 96.9%
- ? Bruce Blakeman (R) 2.9%
-
Governor, Ohio
- – Amy Acton (D) 83.5%
- ✓ Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 17.5%
-
Governor, Oklahoma
- ? Mike Mazzei (R) 89%
- – Cyndi Munson (D) 9.5%
-
Governor, Oregon
- – Tina Kotek (D) 84%
- – Christine Drazan (R) 15.5%
-
Governor, Pennsylvania
- ✗ Josh Shapiro (D) 98.6%
- ✗ Stacy Garrity (R) 1.2%
-
Governor, Rhode Island
- – Helena Foulkes (D) 98.2%
- – Aaron Guckian (R) 0.9%
-
Governor, South Carolina
- ✗ Alan Wilson (R) 95.5%
- ? Jermaine Johnson (D) 4.6%
-
Governor, South Dakota
- ? Larry Rhoden (R) 98.2%
- – Dan Ahlers (D) 1.8%
-
Governor, Tennessee
- ✗ Marsha Blackburn (R) 94.3%
- – Jerri Green (D) 4.6%
-
Governor, Texas
- ✗ Greg Abbott (R) 62.1%
- – Gina Hinojosa (D) 37.5%
-
Governor, Vermont
- ? Phil Scott (R) 68.5%
- – Amanda Janoo (D) 30.7%
-
Governor, Wisconsin
- – David Crowley (D) 85.5%
- ✗ Tom Tiffany (R) 12%
-
Governor, Wyoming
- – Eric Barlow (R) 99.5%
- – Ken Casner (D) 0.6%
The House
Every House candidate we track has a page. Find yours by state and district.
Find your districtEvery candidate we track
Not just the favorites: every running candidate we track.
| Office | Supports | Mixed | Opposes | No Position Found | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | 39 | 23 | 26 | 38 | 126 |
| House | 333 | 244 | 105 | 472 | 1,154 |
| Governor | 21 | 26 | 10 | 86 | 143 |
| Total | 393 | 293 | 141 | 596 | 1,423 |
How we mark: votes on the bills we track come first; for candidates without votes, their own words, money from the lobbying groups we track, and endorsements. Read the methodology. Odds: Polymarket, as of November 3, 2026.